Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1925.789713 2095.843524 2268.072304 2455.268125 2652.695903 2854.438507 3075.876564
2025-06-01 1657.924113 1912.634069 2180.436541 2481.794513 2810.275133 3156.315720 3547.252502
2025-06-08 1458.369258 1759.647530 2085.516647 2461.699608 2881.523018 3333.283267 3853.781169
2025-06-15 1351.493696 1692.023765 2068.922226 2512.921135 3017.596155 3569.536589 4214.901319
2025-06-22 1240.542987 1607.897648 2023.263682 2521.690858 3097.602905 3736.511596 4493.199433
2025-06-29 1138.633748 1525.366398 1971.536313 2516.151451 3154.910240 3872.695230 4732.529482
2025-07-06 1014.827509 1407.873165 1870.986755 2446.305147 3131.372204 3911.138807 4855.789552
2025-07-13 984.181627 1401.037158 1899.831037 2527.359241 3282.675981 4150.186530 5209.391274
2025-07-20 937.110837 1370.142558 1896.554632 2567.369791 3383.538968 4329.367476 5493.134017
2025-07-27 880.293742 1323.189832 1870.414246 2576.865801 3445.729499 4461.611309 5721.104690
2025-08-03 822.443968 1271.410336 1835.266772 2572.620437 3489.145753 4570.043756 5919.994595
2025-08-10 777.286719 1233.679124 1815.640402 2585.724038 3552.193363 4700.895178 6144.961744
2025-08-17 721.717850 1179.867798 1774.034103 2570.545819 3580.695876 4791.420853 6324.170100
2025-08-24 686.885156 1152.640682 1765.678569 2596.762769 3660.231255 4943.957067 6578.756319
2025-08-31 636.618622 1100.973260 1722.600135 2576.070830 3679.159969 5021.250233 6741.538020
2025-09-07 617.637252 1092.614062 1736.531609 2628.891625 3790.689312 5212.302750 7043.086724
2025-09-14 584.254447 1061.506519 1718.117583 2637.934277 3845.536834 5332.840103 7258.423373
2025-09-21 548.095912 1024.300292 1689.670276 2632.222525 3880.338866 5427.759098 7441.987387
2025-09-28 492.646299 954.905824 1613.699916 2560.192489 3827.043990 5410.651569 7485.703107
2025-10-05 490.279909 966.864412 1652.403342 2643.778891 3977.261814 5650.426004 7849.442727
2025-10-12 475.012580 957.758991 1660.432360 2685.029769 4071.773999 5819.962618 8126.240941
2025-10-19 451.248669 933.893126 1646.197023 2694.819235 4124.218170 5935.869071 8336.107290
2025-10-26 424.849835 904.324440 1622.475797 2690.442719 4157.110383 6026.410727 8514.030273